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Wind SeiryuuTier 1

at ⛵ Flagship PTM Store Championship

decks
5 (14.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
22 14-6-2
overall winrate
68.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.3% avg ELO +4.3 per match
expected value
55.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1287 · median 1291 · range 1176–1388 (5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1078 Q1 1163 Q3 1347 1519
40% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 11.8% 7 4-3-0 57.1% 54.5% 54.0% +2.0
Fire Crux Mage 8.8% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 65.1% +14.5
Fire Umbra Guardian 8.8% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 45.7% -3.2
Water Aetherwing 8.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.8% -9.9
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.3% +14.9
Fire Oblation 5.9% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 60.2% +9.8
Fire Suzaku 5.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.7% +7.5
Wind Shadowstrike 5.9% 0
Fire Aetherwing 2.9% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 2.9% 0
Fire Suited 2.9% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 54.6% +4.4
Fire Umbra Ranger 2.9% 0
Water Allies 2.9% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 57.9% +7.6
Wind Allies 2.9% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 2.9% 0
Wind Chess 2.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.9% +4.6
Decklists · 5 from this event

The 5 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 35 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 35 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Displace -1.00 0 2 0
Windmill Engineer +1.00 2 0 0
Fated Keepsake +1.00 2 0 0
Brisk Windtrotter -1.00 0 2 0
Orb of Sealing -0.50 0 1 0
Resolute Stand +0.50 1 0 1
Royal Oathguard -0.50 0 1 0
Tempus Stalker -0.50 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze +0.50 1 0 1
Sunblessed Gazelle -0.50 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds +0.50 1 0 1
Harness Lightning +0.50 1 0 1
Purifying Thurible +0.50 1 0 1
Nullifying Lantern -0.50 0 1 0
Trained Hawk +0.50 1 0 1
Verdigris Decree -0.50 0 1 0
Safeguard Amulet +0.50 1 0 1
Fairy Whispers +0.50 1 0 1
Incapacitate +0.50 1 0 1
Dream Fairy -0.50 0 1 1
Censer of Restful Peace -0.50 0 1 0
Ducal Seal +0.50 1 0 1
Scout the Land -0.50 0 1 0
Umbral Tithe -0.50 0 1 0
Diana, Keen Huntress -0.50 0 1 0
Fluffy Shopkeep -0.50 0 1 0
Punishing Cartridge -0.50 0 1 0
Backup Charger -0.50 0 1 0
Shadow's Twin -0.50 0 1 0
Diana, Duskstalker -0.50 0 1 0
Tasershot -0.50 0 1 0
Diana, Deadly Duelist -0.50 0 1 0
Regal Inquisition -0.50 0 1 0
Longtail Grovesward +0.00 1 1 0
Winds of Destiny +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/41613/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu